Detlof von winterfeldt


PUBLICATIONS: Selected Technical Reports and Working Papers



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PUBLICATIONS: Selected Technical Reports and Working Papers
Garcia, R. & von Winterfeldt, D. (2010). Attacker-defender decision trees for terrorism risk assessment: An Introduction and Application to Evaluating MANPADS Countermeasures. Technical Report, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California, Los Angeles.
von Winterfeldt, D. (2005). A risk and decision analysis framework for protecting New Orleans against another Katrina. Technical Report, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, Los Angeles, CA.

von Winterfeldt, D. (2005). A risk analysis of grounding practices for utility linemen. Technical Report, Decision Insights, Inc. Los Angeles, CA

von Winterfeldt, D. (2003) Using decision analysis and public participation to improve infrastructure decisions. Institute for Civil Infrastructure Systems, New York University, New York

Flanagan, D.V., Jr. & von Winterfeldt, D. (2002). The economics of Yucca Mountain. Technical Report. School of Policy, Planning, and Development, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA.


Benthien, M. & von Winterfeldt, D. (2001). Using decision analysis to improve seismic rehabilitation decisions. Working Paper WP-01-01, Institute for Civic Enterprise, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D., Roselund, N., & Kituse, A. (2000). Framing earthquake retrofitting decisions. PEER Report 2000/3, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Center, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D. (2000). Power grid and land use policy analysis. Final Report. California Department of Health Services, Oakland, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D. (2000). Power grid and land use policy analysis: A guide for decision makers and stakeholders. Technical Report, California Department of Health Services, Oakland, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D. (1999). The value of electromagnetic fields research. Technical Report, Irvine: Decision Insights, Inc.
Eppel, T., Seaver, D.A., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1998). Single Shell Tank Leak Determination: Technical Background. Technical Report, Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Richland, WA: Battelle PNNL.
Keeney, R.L. and von Winterfeldt, D. (1997). Value tradeoffs for the Hanford Tank Waste Remediation System (TWRS) Program. Report No. PNNL-11724, UC-630. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.
Eppel, T. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1997). Eliciting expert judgments to predict the outcomes of the FARO L-21 experiment: The NUREG 1150 methodology. Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Institute for Systems, Informatics and Safety, Ispra, Italy.
Brothers, A., Brewster, M., Harper, B., John, R., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1996). Risk-based characterization strategy for flammable gas safety. Technical Report, battelle Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA.
von Winterfeldt, D. and Keeney, R.L. (1996). Managing magnetic fields: Insights from decision analysis. EPRI Report No. TR-107187. Palo Alto: Electric Power Research Institute.
Keeney, R.L. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1996). Value-based performance measures for Hanford Tank Waste Remediation System (TWRS) program. Technical Report No. PNNL-10946. Richland, WA: Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory.
Fassbender, L.L. and 12 authors, including von Winterfeldt, D. (1996). Application of Value of Information to Tank Waste Characterization: A new paradigm for defining tank waste characterization requirements. Technical Report PNNL-11395. Richland: Battelle PNNL.
Creighton, J., von Winterfeldt, D., Armacost, L.L., & Robershotte, M. (1995). Methods for analyzing and communicating technical and value information in the tank waste remediation system program. Technical Report, Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Richland, WA.
von Winterfeldt, D. (1994). Preventing human intrusion into a high-level nuclear waste repository. Report to the National Research Council, Committee on the Technical Bases for Yucca Mountain Standards. Institute of Safety and Systems Management, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
Armacost, L.L., von Winterfeldt, D., Creighton, J., & Robershotte, M. (1994). Public values related to decisions in the Tank Waste Remediation Program. Technical Report No. PNNL-10107. Richland, WA: Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory.
Keeney, R.L. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1993). An analysis of strategies to manage nuclear waste from power plants. Technical report DA-93-1, ISSM, University of Southern California.
Gregory, R., von Winterfeldt, D., Fassbender, L., & John, R. (1993). Establishing mixed waste problem priorities for nuclear waste clean up. Technical Report, Decision Insights, Inc., Irvine, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D., John, R.S., Gregory, R., & Fassbender, L. (1993). Assessing technology needs for nuclear waste clean up. Technical Report, Battelle PNL, Richland, WA.
Otway, H.J., Puckett, J.M., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1992). The prioritization of environment, safety, and health activities. Technical Report, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM.
Hora, S.C., von Winterfeldt, D., Trauth, K., & Anderson, D.R. (1991). Expert judgment on inadvertent human intrusion into the waste isolation pilot plant. (Sandia Report No. SAND90-3063), Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM.
Bonano, E.J., Hora, S.C., Keeney, R.L., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1990). Elicitation and use of expert judgment in performance assessment for high-level radioactive waste repositories. NUREG/CR-5411, SAND89-1821, Sandia National Laboratories.
Covello, V.T., von Winterfeldt, D., & Slovic, P. (1988). Risk communication: A review of the literature. Final Report to the National Science Foundation, Institute of Safety and Systems Management, University of Southern California.
Keeney, R.L. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1987). Operational procedures to evaluate decisions with multiple objectives. EPRI Research report No. RP-2141-10, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA.
von Winterfeldt, D. & John, R.S. (1986). Value tree analysis of alternative ordinances for "earthquakeproofing" masonry buildings in Los Angeles. Working paper, Center for Public Administration and Policy Science, University of Wisconsin-Green Bay.
John, R.S., Keeney, R.L., Petak, W., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1984). Evaluation of risk assessment methodologies for prioritizing dam remedial dam safety projects. Final Report submitted to the National Science Foundation. Institute of Safety and Systems Management, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
von Winterfeldt, D., Griffin, G., & Edwards, W. (1984). On the relevance of the utility-value distinction for decision analysis. Technical Report No. 84-1), Social Science Research Institute, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
Brown, R.V., Lindley, D.V., Ulvila, J.W., & von Winterfeldt, D. (1984). Plural analysis: Developing multiple approaches to quantitative research (Phase I). Technical Report No. 84-3, Falls Church, VA: Decision Science Consortium. (NTIS No. PB87-116331/A05)
von Winterfeldt, D. (1979). Functional relationships between risky and riskless multiattribute utility functions. Technical Report No. 79-3. Social Science Research Institute, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
Williams, J. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1979). Carbon-dioxide, climate, and society. Conference Proceedings. Natural Resources Forum, 3, 187-191.
Gabrielli, W.F. & von Winterfeldt, D. (1978). Are importance weights sensitive to the range of alternatives in multiattribute utility measurement? Technical Report No. 001922-6-T. Social Science Research Institute, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
von Winterfeldt, D. (1978). A decision theoretic model for standard setting and regulation. IIASA-RM-78-7. Laxenburg: Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
von Winterfeldt, D. An overview, integration, and evaluation of utility theory for decision analysis. Technical Report No. 75-9. Social Science Research Institute, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
von Winterfeldt, D. (1974). Error in decision analysis: How to create the possibility of large losses by using dominated strategies. Technical Report No. 74-4. Social Science Research Institute, Los Angeles: University of Southern California.
von Winterfeldt, D. & Edwards, W. (1973). Costs and payoffs in perceptual research. Technical Report No. 011313-1-T. Engineering Psychology Laboratory, University of Michigan.
von Winterfeldt, D. & Edwards, W. (1973). Flat maxima in linear optimization models. Technical Report No. 011313-4-T. Engineering Psychology Laboratory, University of Michigan.
von Winterfeldt, D. & Edwards, W. (1973). Evaluation of complex stimuli using multi-attribute utility procedures. Technical Report No. 011313-2-T. Engineering Psychology Laboratory, University of Michigan.

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